FOUR SEASONS BREEZE | OCTOBER 2025 17
"Understanding the Weather" – A Series by Mel Zeldin, Retired Meteorologist
Overall, this past summer has been fairly normal, but with
an unusually cool July and a warmer-than-normal August.
Looking forward to the fall months, outlooks for temperature and
precipitation from the Climate Prediction Center are shown below.
For temperatures, in Figure 1, the projections are again for most
of the country to be above normal with only the northern tier of
states having equal chances for above-normal or below-normal
temperatures. For Southern California, we are indicated to be
above normal again with the greatest chances of above-normal
temperatures centered over New Mexico.
For precipitation, in Figure 2, Southern California is again
indicated to have equal chances of above or below normal rainfall.
This would suggest that we will likely have some storms as we
get into the latter part of the fall season, but not unusually wetter
than normal. Nationally, the greatest chances for above-normal
precipitation are in the Pacific Northwest and the Great Lakes
region.
Also, as we get into fall, we can experience Santa Ana winds which
can sometimes produce gusts to 50 mph or even greater. There are
no indications whether such winds will be more predominant than
what typically occurs.
Fall 2025 Weather Outlook
Fig 2. Precipitation outlook for fall 2025 Fig 1. Temperature outlook for fall 2025